Looks to me as if ... ... Mr Market is saying that the deal is not going to go through at £43.50.I must say, the stratospherically high share price of SAB makes me absolutely delighted to be holding Diageo, which is far cheaper by any standard and is arguably MUCH better value than SAB, particularly given the hidden value concealed in its maturing stocks of hooch.One thing about hard liquor, which does not apply in the case of beer companies like SAB and ABInBev, is that the balance sheet value of the inventory understates the true value of the company.LKH on the flybridge no position in SAB
Re: Still needs to go higher I expect this to be trading @44 within the next 7 days.Good luck.3D
NEW ARTICLE: Muted reaction to SABMiller mega-bid "What's going on? The world's largest brewer BRU:ABI:Anheuser-Busch InBev has gone public with a proposed £68 billion mega-bid for its nearest rival LSE:SAB:SABMiller, but the shares have hardly twitched. They're up just 1% and trading at £5.50, ..."[link]
Still needs to go higher The bid will not succeed on the basis of the latest complex bid but I think it is all part of the plan to come back with a higher, simpler knock out bid. £45 cash should do it with a share alternative with shares that are listed and tradable.
NEW ARTICLE: Should You Sell SABMiller plc After New £68bn Proposal From Anheuser Busch Inbev SA? "Shares in beer giant SABMiller (LSE:SAB) rose by around 3% this morning after the world's largest brewer, Budweiser owner Anheuser Busch InBev SA, announced a new £42.15 per share proposal for the firm.The proposed bid represents a 44% premium ..."[link]
Re: Needs to go higher Well, looks as if we may get £40. Can't see why, as I really doubt there's a rival bid, but I'm holding, and will happily take my In Bev shares and any cash that's going.One of my few bits of blue in this red red month.
Needs to go highre I agree with Uncle Doug
Needs to go higher Nothing to get too excited about yet - not even reached my target price so I'm sitting tight. Might start to take notice around £40, but I wouldn't be averse to holding ABInBev anyway.
NEW ARTICLE: SABMiller and AB InBev confirm mega-merger talks "LSE:SAB:SABMiller has rocketed close to all-time highs after the brewer and perennial bid favourite confirmed Belgian giant Anheuser-Busch BRU:ABI:InBev is finally contemplating an offer for the British firm. A tie-up between the world's two ..."[link]
Re: Wakey Wakey yum yum Looks like it's finally happening. No chance of a counter-bid, I fear, but musn't be greedy - 90% up in the four years I've been in is fine.
NEW ARTICLE: FTSE 100 receives SABMiller bid boost "A decent session on Wall Street overnight has put a spring in the step of London's blue chip index Wednesday. Yesterday's stronger-than-expected report on US retail sales has clearly improved sentiment and risk appetite just as Federal Reserve ..."[link]
Wakey Wakey [link] this just another rumour, or do investors here think it's inevitable that In-Bev will eventually take over SAB?Games
Re: Diageo Bid for SAB much more likely than for Diageo, imho.
NEW ARTICLE: Diageo vulnerable to bid from Brazil "Speculation that a Brazilian billionaire wants to buy drinks maker LSEGEiageo injected some Dutch courage into the market on Monday. After a rather sober couple of years, investors chased the shares up as much as 9%. Both sides are keeping ..."[link]
NEW ARTICLE: Trends and Targets for 8/05/2015 "SABMiller (LSE:SAB) is our final Booze Sector share. We cannot help but wonder whether the industry is helped by General Elections as the quantity consumed tonight can doubtless be statistically measured. Coming so soon before the ultimate ..."[link]