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BUY by biggib on 04 Sep 2014 07:27

Price at rating: 16.00, now: …

TAKEOVER TALK 35Pr Outsourcery (OUT) Cloud computing aka software as a service "SaaS" is one of the hottest sectors in tech land.r In our article we highlight cloud companies that we felt were logical takeover targets.r Cloud computing aka software as a service “SaaS” is one of the hottest sectors in tech land. In early December, immediately after the SAP AG (NYSE:SAP) takeover bid for SuccessFactors (NYSE:SFSF), The underlying thesis of our article was that with the October 2011 acquisition by Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) of RightNow Technologies followed by the SAP acquisition of SuccessFactors that there would be pressure on all large software/computing companies to take heed and make their move to grab one or more of the existing players in the field or risk being “left at the station”.r Our thesis was immediately confirmed by IBM’s (NYSE:IBM) takeover of one of our favorite targets, DemandTec, and, last week the thesis was reconfirmed by Oracle bidding for another of our highlighted favorites, Taleo. Thus, in two months fully twenty (20%) percent of the takeover targets we highlighted have been taken over.r We feel this latest cloud acquisition by Oracle (being their second in the field in less than six months) will turn up the heat on the other large players in the software/computing field to enter the “land grab” before all the prime real estate is gone. Therefore, we have decided to take yet another look at what we feel are the most logical takeover targets currently available in the cloud. Here are our five candidates:r Ariba, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARBA)r Ariba is a $2.82 billion market cap company based in Sunnyvale, California with an average daily trading volume of 1.1 million shares. Ariba was founded in 1996 to revolutionize collaborative business commerce solutions. Today, the Ariba Commerce Cloud is home to more than 700,000 companies and is the leader in trading network volumes. Ariba is estimated to have earnings per share of $0.95 this year and $1.13 next year. Revenues should come in around $528 million this year and increase to $601 million next year. With its size, history and reputation Ariba would provide any company with an instant and meaningful presence in the cloud.r Kenexa Corporation (KNXA)r Kenexa is a $764 million market cap company based in Wayne, Pennsylvania with an average daily trading volume of 280,000 shares. The company operates in the same SaaS space as SuccessFactors. The company is estimated to earn $1.03 this year and $1.25 next year. Revenue this year should be $357 million and is estimated to increase to $408 million next year. As a pure play with good earnings Kenexa looks like an attractive bolt-on acquisition that could be done without much dilution. With recent cloud acquisitions being valued at 5 to 8 times current year revenues Kenexa not only is “bite sized” but offers the possibility of a significant takeover premium.r NetSuite, Inc. (NYSE:N)r NetSuite is a $3.1 billion market cap company with an average daily trading volume of 401,000 shares. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California. NetSuite is a leading vendor of cloud computing business management software suites. NetSuite is the prized property in its playing field and would be a great acquisition. Keep in mind, with 2012 EPS estimated at $0.21 per share and revenues of $298 million this would come with some steep dilution. Earnings should increase in 2013 to $0.34 with revenues increasing to $370 million Also remember that the majority of the stock is held by insiders and with Larry Ellison as the largest shareholder it would seem logical that NetSuite is eventually going into the Oracle fold. It would seem to make sense for Oracle to bring this “in-house” sooner rather than later so that Oracle can offer a more complete suite of cloud solutions.r Outsourcery (LSE.OUT)r Is a £5.53 million market company with an average daily trading volume of 40,000 shares.r AIM-listed, cloudy infrastructure biz Outsourcery, is the latest addition to the Cabinet Office SME panel. His organisation will sit alongside the likes of Redfern Travel and Nexor Ltd.r It has an excellent relationship with Microsoft (MSFT:NDQ), as evidenced by its Gold Partner status, and is an expert in the Seattle giant’s full suite of products, ranging from CRM to SharePoint, Exchange and Lync. Microsoft’s huge list of customers represents a great opportunity. ‘There is going to be a massive shift in Microsoft’s installed baser Currently trading at 16.00p per share. In the last year Outsourcery’s share price has ranged from 15.50p to 122.50p and brokers are currently rating this stock as ‘strong buy’.r Based on current cloud M&A valuations this company may also offer investor’s a significant takeover premium.r SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC)r SPS Commerce is a $307 million market cap company with an average daily trading volume of just 65,000 shares. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Minneapolis, Minnesota. SPS Commerce is another 100% SaaS pure play. The company is profitable with earnings per share estimated at $0.43this year and $0.58 next year and revenue estimated at $70 million this year and $82 million next year. This company should be an easily digestible “bolt on” acquisition for any number of potential acquirers. Based on current cloud M&A valuations this company may also offer investor’s a significant takeover premium.r Ultimate Software Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTI)r Ultimate Software is a $1.73 billion market cap company with an average daily trading volume of 206,000 shares. This company was founded in 1990 and is based in Weston, Florida. Like Taleo, Kenexa and Cornerstone this company competes in the same SaaS HR space as SuccessFactors. Ultimate is estimated to earn $1.01 per share this year on $330 million in revenue and $1.40 per share next year on $401 million in revenue. This is a well-run company that might be a good entry point for HP (NYSE:HPQ) or any other company that wanted to have a significant and immediate cloud presence.r

Score: 0.00 ?

07:27:06 4 Sep 2014 16.00
08:28:04 4 Sep 2014 15.83
09:28:04 4 Sep 2014 15.83
10:28:05 4 Sep 2014 15.40
11:28:05 4 Sep 2014 15.01
12:28:05 4 Sep 2014 15.06
13:28:05 4 Sep 2014 15.06
14:28:06 4 Sep 2014 15.06
15:29:06 4 Sep 2014 15.06
16:30:04 4 Sep 2014 15.50
08:16:06 5 Sep 2014 15.10
09:16:07 5 Sep 2014 15.50
10:17:06 5 Sep 2014 15.50
11:18:06 5 Sep 2014 15.50
12:18:07 5 Sep 2014 15.50
13:19:06 5 Sep 2014 15.50
14:20:07 5 Sep 2014 15.88

PANIC by reks on 31 Jul 2014 07:08

Price at rating: 23.01, now: …

NO price mentioned so massive dillution and 5p looks very likely

07:08:05 31 Jul 2014 23.01
08:16:04 31 Jul 2014 23.01
09:16:05 31 Jul 2014 23.00
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08:16:05 1 Aug 2014 23.00
09:16:05 1 Aug 2014 21.00
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PANIC by 21trader on 27 Jul 2014 14:43

Price at rating: 33.00, now: …

There is a new star on Dragon’s Den, Piers Linney. Yesterday I revealed HERE how his Outsourcery (OUT) firm on AIM is in very real danger of going tits up just 14 months after listing. But Piers is no stranger to business failure. The BBC thinks he is a Dragon with the Midas touch. Au contraire. Today I reveal the full extent of his career of business trainwrecks and the sham projections of the Outsourcery IPO.r r Here is what the BBC says about Piers:r r Piers started his first business when he was thirteen and, although he always wanted to be his own boss, began his career in law and finance. Piers is of Barbadian and English descent, growing up in a small mill town in Lancashire where he attended the local comprehensive. r r He went on to read Accounting and Law at the University of Manchester and qualified as a solicitor in the City of London in 1997, specialising in venture capital. He then worked in mergers and acquisitions at Credit Suisse r r Piers left the City in 2000 to start an Internet business and has since been involved in a wide range of businesses across technology, media and telecommunications as a founder, investor and adviser. r r In April 2007, with his business partner, he led the buyout of a mobile voice and data reseller, which became the sector leader. Through four acquisitions, a Cloud hosting company was created and the mobile business was sold in 2011 to focus on the Cloud opportunity. Outsourcery was floated on the Alternative Investment Market in May 2013. r r Piers has been recognised as one of the top 100 most influential black Britons. He lives in central London and supports a range of charities.r r Hmmm let’s start with that life in the Mill Town where he attended the local comprehensive. Not only black but clearly working class to boot, how the BBC must love him. It’s a shame he is not gay as that would tick all the boxes. Er… Piers (his real first name is Jonathan BTW) is the son of Derek (MA Cantab) an export executive and Norma a nurse. They live in a very pleasant edge of town close of detached houses. This is not exactly a grim Northern slum upbringing with communal outside lavatories is it? r r We move on to how Piers left the City in 2000 to start his own internet business. Didn’t everyone in 2000? Quoted in a verbal blow job piece in the Daily Mail last week, Linney stated: “When the internet came along, I saw it as a gold rush, so I had to get involved. I took my bonus in 2000 and walked out the door to set up on my own. My friends and family thought I was bananas.” How very rational. Linney’s venture was called Doctorsworld and owned Doctorsworld.com. It managed to secure initial funding and in 2001 was seeking a second round of £2 million promising that it would be profitable within a year. It did manage to file its accounts for 2001. But that was it. The company was dissolved.r r This was not Linney’s first failure as he hit 30. By then he had already been a director of six companies which had to be dissolved. And the track record has continued in a similar vein.r r Companies House records show that he has been a director of 32 firms that ended up folding. Among the standouts are Interactive Media Developments Ltd which was liquidated in 2007 with debts of £462,000. And he was company secretary of Itchy Media Ltd which was wound up owing £565,000.Others firms folded after six-figure losses. r r But what about the successes? Back to Companies House. Current directorships outside of Outsourcery are listed as The Powerlist Foundation but apparently that is classified as “The Company Not Trading” and Key Real Estate which was set up in October 2006 and is still going. Well done Piers. Its last accounts (2013) show cash nil, current liabilities £3,058 and er that is it. It appears to be worthless.r r So where did Linney make his money? He claims a £100 million fortune. Hmmmmm. Look to Towergate Capital a City corporate finance boutique registered with the FCA from October 2001 and which Piers - according to the FCA register - joined in July 2003. His background was a City boy and he stayed with Towergate full time until 2007 and in some capacity until 2010. I guess being a City boy helped pay the bills while business after business of which he was a director went tits up.r r And that brings us to Outsourcery which started off as a telecoms business bought out of DSG in 2007. A few other acquisitions followed but in 2011 that business was sold for £12 million which was kind of handy as the cloud business that Piers is building up eats cash like there is no tomorrow. But the IPO was meant to solve that. I quote from the prospectus in May 2013:r r As the Group’s revenues scale up, its current loss-making position will narrow towards profitability. The funds from the Placing will enable the Group to further consolidate its market leadership position and benefit from a range of competitive advantages as it exploits the significant market opportunity and grows its recurring revenue base. The Placing comprises the Company raising funds of £10.0 million (net of expenses) to fund it through to cash flow break-even.r r As it happened £13 million was raised. But fuck me the prospectus was just not true was it Piers? Within just seven months Outsourcery had to raise another £4.2 million. Had it not done that then as at the 31st December 2013 year end it would have had NEGATIVE net assets minus debt of c£1 million. In other words it would within seven months of flotation have been heading fast for the fate one associates with almost every other company Piers Linney has set up.r r So what’s the score now? In the next four days Linney will announce plans to refinance. The shares are more than two thirds down on the IPO price at 34p. As things stand cash+ trade receivables minus (trade payables and debt) is almost certainly less than zero. And that number is getting worse by the day. Profitability is three years away IF the company can raise £5 million and hit – much delayed – targets. r r Since it may go tits up and deserves to go tits up, since its prospectus was not true in terms of having enough cash to hit breakeven and since Piers Linney has a CV of business failures par excellence this company is clearly a sell. My target price is 1p.r r But perhaps I have got it wrong and the BBC has identified real talent. I leave you to judge with a couple of quotes from Linney himself. On the share price:r r “The City does not quite grasp the scale of the opportunity… Trying to explain what we do and the scale of opportunity to a generalist investor is very difficult…There is an obsession with what month next year are you going to be profitable.”r r Shucks I am just a generalist investor so I guess things like missing your sales targets, being almost tits up in a cash sense, not having a hope of making a profit for three years (best case scenario) despite what you said in your IPO just 14 months ago are all irrelevancies. Silly me. I just do not understand the genius of Piers.r r But it seems that other folks are waking up to the true genius of this modest man. Piers says:r r “I am now stopped on the street, people do recognise me,’ he says. But I am not at the Tom Cruise level yet.”r r Oh Piers, you are not yet as well-known as Tom Cruise. Not yet at least. How modest you are. Do you think that setting up a company that does NOT go tits up is your very own Mission Impossible?r

14:43:07 27 Jul 2014 33.00
08:16:07 28 Jul 2014 31.20
09:17:08 28 Jul 2014 29.01
10:18:07 28 Jul 2014 30.20
11:19:04 28 Jul 2014 28.00
12:19:04 28 Jul 2014 31.00
13:19:05 28 Jul 2014 28.80
14:19:05 28 Jul 2014 30.56
15:19:05 28 Jul 2014 30.56
16:19:05 28 Jul 2014 28.00
08:16:05 29 Jul 2014 30.32
09:17:06 29 Jul 2014 28.00
10:18:05 29 Jul 2014 26.70
11:18:05 29 Jul 2014 26.76
12:18:06 29 Jul 2014 26.25
13:18:07 29 Jul 2014 26.00
14:19:07 29 Jul 2014 25.01

PANIC by yankee on 27 Jul 2014 13:16

Price at rating: 33.00, now: …

Dragon’s Den Star Piers Linney – A career of business failure revealed and the sham projection of his Outsourcery flotationr BY TOM WINNIFRITH | SUNDAY 27 JULY 2014r r 49r r r r r There is a new star on Dragon’s Den, Piers Linney. Yesterday I revealed HERE how his Outsourcery (OUT) firm on AIM is in very real danger of going tits up just 14 months after listing. But Piers is no stranger to business failure. The BBC thinks he is a Dragon with the Midas touch. Au contraire. Today I reveal the full extent of his career of business trainwrecks and the sham projections of the Outsourcery IPO.r r Here is what the BBC says about Piers:r r Piers started his first business when he was thirteen and, although he always wanted to be his own boss, began his career in law and finance. Piers is of Barbadian and English descent, growing up in a small mill town in Lancashire where he attended the local comprehensive. r r He went on to read Accounting and Law at the University of Manchester and qualified as a solicitor in the City of London in 1997, specialising in venture capital. He then worked in mergers and acquisitions at Credit Suisse r r Piers left the City in 2000 to start an Internet business and has since been involved in a wide range of businesses across technology, media and telecommunications as a founder, investor and adviser. r r In April 2007, with his business partner, he led the buyout of a mobile voice and data reseller, which became the sector leader. Through four acquisitions, a Cloud hosting company was created and the mobile business was sold in 2011 to focus on the Cloud opportunity. Outsourcery was floated on the Alternative Investment Market in May 2013. r r Piers has been recognised as one of the top 100 most influential black Britons. He lives in central London and supports a range of charities.r r Hmmm let’s start with that life in the Mill Town where he attended the local comprehensive. Not only black but clearly working class to boot, how the BBC must love him. It’s a shame he is not gay as that would tick all the boxes. Er… Piers (his real first name is Jonathan BTW) is the son of Derek (MA Cantab) an export executive and Norma a nurse. They live in a very pleasant edge of town close of detached houses. This is not exactly a grim Northern slum upbringing with communal outside lavatories is it? r r We move on to how Piers left the City in 2000 to start his own internet business. Didn’t everyone in 2000? Quoted in a verbal blow job piece in the Daily Mail last week, Linney stated: “When the internet came along, I saw it as a gold rush, so I had to get involved. I took my bonus in 2000 and walked out the door to set up on my own. My friends and family thought I was bananas.” How very rational. Linney’s venture was called Doctorsworld and owned Doctorsworld.com. It managed to secure initial funding and in 2001 was seeking a second round of £2 million promising that it would be profitable within a year. It did manage to file its accounts for 2001. But that was it. The company was dissolved.r r This was not Linney’s first failure as he hit 30. By then he had already been a director of six companies which had to be dissolved. And the track record has continued in a similar vein.r r Companies House records show that he has been a director of 32 firms that ended up folding. Among the standouts are Interactive Media Developments Ltd which was liquidated in 2007 with debts of £462,000. And he was company secretary of Itchy Media Ltd which was wound up owing £565,000.Others firms folded after six-figure losses. r r But what about the successes? Back to Companies House. Current directorships outside of Outsourcery are listed as The Powerlist Foundation but apparently that is classified as “The Company Not Trading” and Key Real Estate which was set up in October 2006 and is still going. Well done Piers. Its last accounts (2013) show cash nil, current liabilities £3,058 and er that is it. It appears to be worthless.r r So where did Linney make his money? He claims a £100 million fortune. Hmmmmm. Look to Towergate Capital a City corporate finance boutique registered with the FCA from October 2001 and which Piers - according to the FCA register - joined in July 2003. His background was a City boy and he stayed with Towergate full time until 2007 and in some capacity until 2010. I guess being a City boy helped pay the bills while business after business of which he was a director went tits up.r r And that brings us to Outsourcery which started off as a telecoms business bought out of DSG in 2007. A few other acquisitions followed but in 2011 that business was sold for £12 million which was kind of handy as the cloud business that Piers is building up eats cash like there is no tomorrow. But the IPO was meant to solve that. I quote from the prospectus in May 2013:r r As the Group’s revenues scale up, its current loss-making position will narrow towards profitability. The funds from the Placing will enable the Group to further consolidate its market leadership position and benefit from a range of competitive advantages as it exploits the significant market opportunity and grows its recurring revenue base. The Placing comprises the Company raising funds of £10.0 million (net of expenses) to fund it through to cash flow break-even.r r As it happened £13 million was raised. But fuck me the prospectus was just not true was it Piers? Within just seven months Outsourcery had to raise another £4.2 million. Had it not done that then as at the 31st December 2013 year end it would have had NEGATIVE net assets minus debt of c£1 million. In other words it would within seven months of flotation have been heading fast for the fate one associates with almost every other company Piers Linney has set up.r r So what’s the score now? In the next four days Linney will announce plans to refinance. The shares are more than two thirds down on the IPO price at 34p. As things stand cash+ trade receivables minus (trade payables and debt) is almost certainly less than zero. And that number is getting worse by the day. Profitability is three years away IF the company can raise £5 million and hit – much delayed – targets. r r Since it may go tits up and deserves to go tits up, since its prospectus was not true in terms of having enough cash to hit breakeven and since Piers Linney has a CV of business failures par excellence this company is clearly a sell. My target price is 1p.r r But perhaps I have got it wrong and the BBC has identified real talent. I leave you to judge with a couple of quotes from Linney himself. On the share price:r r “The City does not quite grasp the scale of the opportunity… Trying to explain what we do and the scale of opportunity to a generalist investor is very difficult…There is an obsession with what month next year are you going to be profitable.”r r Shucks I am just a generalist investor so I guess things like missing your sales targets, being almost tits up in a cash sense, not having a hope of making a profit for three years (best case scenario) despite what you said in your IPO just 14 months ago are all irrelevancies. Silly me. I just do not understand the genius of Piers.r r But it seems that other folks are waking up to the true genius of this modest man. Piers says:r r “I am now stopped on the street, people do recognise me,’ he says. But I am not at the Tom Cruise level yet.”r r Oh Piers, you are not yet as well-known as Tom Cruise. Not yet at least. How modest you are. Do you think that setting up a company that does NOT go tits up is your very own Mission Impossible?r r

13:16:09 27 Jul 2014 33.00
08:16:07 28 Jul 2014 31.20
09:17:08 28 Jul 2014 29.01
10:18:07 28 Jul 2014 30.20
11:19:04 28 Jul 2014 28.00
12:19:04 28 Jul 2014 31.00
13:19:05 28 Jul 2014 28.80
14:19:05 28 Jul 2014 30.56
15:19:05 28 Jul 2014 30.56
16:19:05 28 Jul 2014 28.00
08:16:05 29 Jul 2014 30.32
09:17:06 29 Jul 2014 28.00
10:18:05 29 Jul 2014 26.70
11:18:05 29 Jul 2014 26.76
12:18:06 29 Jul 2014 26.25
13:18:07 29 Jul 2014 26.00
14:19:07 29 Jul 2014 25.01

BUY by yankee on 13 Jul 2014 08:25

Price at rating: 29.20, now: …

The Sunday Times 80p bid VOD

Score: 75.00 ?

08:25:41 13 Jul 2014 29.20
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11:17:05 14 Jul 2014 28.11
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08:16:05 15 Jul 2014 28.50
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10:17:05 15 Jul 2014 28.59
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12:19:05 15 Jul 2014 30.82
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